Watching Lee and Katia

As of the 11am advisory tropical depression 13 is now tropical storm Lee! this TS is going to bring a lot of rain and wind to New Orleans and the surrounding areas. Lee is moving at a slow 2mph with sustained winds at 40mph. Lee could drop up to 10 inches of rain! Now that amount could cause major flooding. Lee is forecasted to strengthen to a powerful Tropical Storm right before it makes landfall. I will put some maps and tracks of Lee below this article.
 As of the 11am Advisory TS Katia is now Hurricane Katia at 75mph sustained winds! Katia is forecasted to become a major hurricane later this weekend. Don't worry for now because Katia is predicted to stay out to sea and away from the US. HOWEVER some of the models are starting to bring her to close to comfort so stay posted to this blog! Do you guys think that Hurricane Katia will hit the US or go out to sea? If it hits the US there is going to be some major issues! For now TS Lee is the biggest concern for the gulf of Mexico! Details on Katia moving WNW 14mph 75mph winds at 991mb in pressure.






LEE

Crazy Weather.

The weather has been strage in the US recently! Especially along the east coast. In the same weak there was the magnitude 8.8 earthquake on the east coast that was felt from florida to canada, crazy huh! Then a few days later there was Hurricane Irene. Hurricane irene came up the east coast and caused signifficant damage and power outages to many states. Irene weakened to a Tropical Storm when it hit NYC but still caused horrific damage to NC,VA, NJ, CT,MA, and the worst flooding in VT. The jetstream turned north and opened the door for Irene to move up north. What do you guys think about the crazy weather in all the same weak. Did you get effected by the Hurricane or Earthquake, did you feel it, POST below!!!

 

Tropics watch in the Gulf.

We have many, many days to monitor Katia far out in the central Atlantic Ocean. It is too early to determine if it will ever affect any land areas.

Closer to home, we have a more immediate concern. Depicted in the graphic below over the Gulf of Mexico is a tropical disturbance with increasingly organized thunderstorm activity. Numerous computer models forecast this system developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm late this week.

Watching the Gulf of Mexico

Watching Caribbean disturbance move into the Gulf | Satellite loop

At this early juncture, the primary threats appear to be torrential flooding rain and at least some coastal flooding, high surf and rip currents (a vastly underrated killer, by the way). We outline those areas most at risk in our "threat level" graphic below.




The wind threat is initially low, but this could change depending on the exact track and intensity of the system

Gulf disturbance threat level

Where is the threat highest from the Gulf disturbance? | Enlarge

This tropical system could "loaf and lollygag" (technical term) for several days along or near the Gulf Coast. To get an idea of the forecast uncertainty with this system, click the image below to see the latest forecast tracks from our hurricane models.

The Setup: A Slow-Motion Headache!

Tropical Storm Katia

Tropical Storm Katia as of the 5pm Advisory from the NHC. Katia is suppose the become a hurricane later and has the potential to become a major hurrican by the latter end of the weekend. As of now the forcast models have Katia move WNW and curve out to sea. HOWEVER this track is subject to change to keep checking up on my blog or the NOAA or Weather.gov in the NHC section. What do u guys think landfall in the US or curve out to sea? WE obiously dont need another hurricane after hurrican Irene left its mark NC and north.
Here are some maps with Links to Weather.com

Click to access: Status | Satellite | Model Tracks

Some Possible tracks.